The team also showed it can run the ball under head coach Josh McDaniels, whose system helped Josh Jacobs win the 2022 rushing crown. The main question is whether the Bucs want to try to keep the ship afloat with a proven signal-caller at the helm or tear things down and rebuild. Lest you think this was just a volume thing: Even if we did this exercise on a per-snap basis Watson would still rank last in his category. They were hamstrung by health issues last year but still have the makings of a squad good enough to contend for a championship. Seneca Wallace didn't win in his rookie season in Super Bowls in Super Bowl XL versus the Steelers on February 5, 2006. "Fortunately, I don't have to put that on paper, in terms of what that is," Taylor said, via Pro Football Talk. Merely average quarterback play almost certainly would have gotten the Jets -- an otherwise quite talented team -- into the playoffs. 5? With just one year Factor in some quality pass-catchers in Garrett Wilson and Elijah Moore and this team is a shoo-in playoff contender with Carr running the show. Regular-season stats: 64.1 percent completion rate, 3,118 passing yards, 26 passing touchdowns, 10 interceptions, The Eagles benefited from having their quarterback on a cheap rookie deal, with the 2020 second-round pick counting just $1.64 million against the salary cap in 2022. The Giants drafted Jones and finally saw him blossom into a quality starter last year. He was by far the best and most valuable quarterback this season: His 132.8 clutch-weighted EPA total easily was first at the position (Josh Allen was second at 119.3) and well above expectations based on his earnings. -- Dan Graziano. The Titans know a thing or two about having a cast-off quarterback excel for their program. Javon Hargrave, Chauncey Gardner-Johnson, T.J. Edwards, Kyzir White, Fletcher Cox, Brandon Graham, Jason Kelce, Isaac Seumalo, Miles Sanders, and Andre Dillard represent just a slice of the free agents to be Philly could lose this offseason. Total Wins: 1 (Still in playoffs) Final Result: TBD. His QBR was 38.3 -- barely beating out Russell Wilson (37.0) and trailing far behind teammate Jacoby Brissett (59.9) -- over his six games with the Browns despite signing a deal with $230 million guaranteed last offseason. Mike Evans and Chris Godwin represent dream targets for any quarterback. While Jones may be pricyhe reportedly wants $45 million a year on his new deal, per PFT's Mike Florioand may not ever become a Hall of Fame-caliber signal-caller, he's a dynamic player with scrambling abilities and creativity that allowed the team to overcome a lack of high-end wideouts. The capable QB on an affordable rookie contract became the most prized asset in football, and teams began building around that four-year window. After failing to distinguish himself for the Jets, Smith bounced around the league and languished on several benches. In this example, Year 5 is kind of a throwaway year, meant to stretch out the signing bonus and not really intended to be exercised. The Cincinnati Bengals are a prime example of this. Bengals not trading Higgins: 'Find your own' WR, Bucs to cut Fournette; RB says it was his request, Seahawks consider QB at No. Sportico is a part of Penske Media Corporation. The Jets started the 2022 campaign hot and seemed to be heading for their first playoff appearance since 2010, before injuries and poor quarterback play sunk the squad in the back half of the season. 1 overall pick in the 2020 NFL Draft, is entering the final year of his rookie contract.. Whether they get their potential franchise signal-caller this spring or if it takes a few more years to find one, Tennessee would be in good hands with Smith at the helm. Garoppolo was originally expected to be a successor to Tom Brady for the New England Patriots, and while that never panned out, he could end up succeeding the future Hall of Famer as the next starting quarterback for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. We spent so much time this year discussing the Carson Wentz situation & how he left a $33M dent on the Eagles' salary cap this year, but we've glossed over how the Ram's have not only been in a similar situation - but with far bigger numbers.If we include ALL QB cap hits for 2021 (active, reserve list, practice squad, & dead cap), the Rams hold the most Quarterback cap in the NFL by a wide margin. The Philadelphia Eagles have promoted quarterbacks coach Brian Johnson to offensive coordinator and hired Sean Desai as defensive coordinator. But, for now, the bargain QB and the Eagles are focused on trying to win a Super Bowl. Your login session has expired. 1 pick? Final Result: Lost Divisional Round. The team has managed to hover around .500 consistently in the Ron Rivera era despite a revolving door of ineffective veterans and backup quarterbacks under center. With Brady retiring following a tough 2022 season, the Buccaneers find themselves in a strange position. With recent restructures to both Marcus Maye and Erik McCoy's contracts, the Saints have been steadily opening up cap room to ink Carr. No. 3: Houston Texans. Jackson is one of just two QBs in NFL history -- Tom Brady is the other -- to be a unanimous MVP. Total production is measured by clutch-weighted EPA (CWEPA), a stat that is the backbone of QBR. One of the most notable members of this youth movement is rookie Brock Purdy, who's slated to start the NFC Championship for the After signing his huge extension, the team has had to reshuffle in certain Burrow, the No. He'll try to maintain that efficiency against an aggressive Eagles defense. Mac Jones has more wins than all other rookie QBs COMBINED. Given he is a rookie, it brings up a bit of trivia. And he concluded the statement in a third line of bold text: "Kyler remains hopeful that the organization choses to commit so that he can continue leading the Cardinals to further success and value for many years to come.". 1 QB in terms of clutch-weighted EPA in the journeyman category. If they opt for the former, Garoppolo is a strong fit and could keep Tampa's championship window open for a few more years. As was established above, it is hard to win a Super Bowl or even find continuous success with a quarterback being paid that much money just ask the Los While his touchdown numbers weren't amazinghe only threw 15 in 16 gameshe limited his mistakes, throwing just five interceptions after coming into the season with 29 over his first 38 contests. Has a rookie QB ever won a Super Bowl? Patrick Mahomes became the first quarterback to win a Super Bowl while carrying a cap hit of 17% or higher. I think his window will extend over his whole career. In fact, no rookie quarterback has ever even reached the Super Bowl. There are a number of guys who have made it close, like Ben Roethlisberger, Joe Flacco, He has shown the mettle to do it. Have any rookie quarterbacks won a Super Bowl? He will likely mimic theTom Bradyapproach to contracts, an approach that has helped Brady become the most successful player in league history., Along with Burrow, the Bengals' intent is to keep their receiving corps in the fold for the foreseeable future. ET, Fox). Jackson is one of just two QBs in NFL history -- Tom Brady is the other -- to be a unanimous MVP. Last years Super Bowl winning QB, Joe Flacco, inked a six-year, $120.6 million contract in March, including $52 million guaranteed with the Baltimore Ravens. We're not. Myriad factors contribute to this. One of those cost-saving moves meant trading away wide receiver Tyreek Hill to the Dolphins; the team granted Hill a new $120 million deal. Joe Flacco and Mark Sanchez did it in 2009and 2010, respectively. It's my job to have as many good players on our football team as we can fit in.". His mobility would open things up for some interesting scheming from the jump and should only get more interesting as the signal-caller gets brought up to speed and comfortable in the system. There may not be many superstar quarterbacks available this offseason, but there are several impact talents set to hit the open market next month. The answer to that question is zero. The Oklahoma Sooners QB was the No. The Atlanta Falcons released quarterback Marcus Mariota on Tuesday in a move to both free up more salary cap space and move on from a player who had lost his Their preference would be to do a deal with Jones and then franchise running back Saquon Barkley for about $10 million a year, but you can only tag one player per year. "At the same time, we have tremendous respect for him as a player and as a person. Historically, Teams Have Succeeded With In fact, even if we only considered the $46.8 million cap hit he's set to cost in 2023, he still would be a value at his current level of play. WebBy my count, the only QBs to win a Super Bowl on their rookie deal are over that span are. Mahomes (2019) Wilson (2013) Flacco (2012 - last year of his rookie contract) E. Manning (2007 - but it was a 7-year/$54 Million contract) Roethlisberger (2005) Brady (2001) 46 49ers 18 days ago Geno Smith didn't pan out for the New York Jets the first time around, but he could be exactly what the franchise needs almost a decade later. The most prominent current example is the AFC champion Kansas City Chiefs with Patrick Mahomes, who will play the aforementioned Eagles in Super Bowl LVII on Sunday (6:30 p.m. The short answer is, no, no rookie quarterback has won, or even started, a Super Bowl. Smith's surprise run, not only as the Seahawks' quarterback, but as a good Seahawks quarterback made him an absolute steal in terms of his contract. It's much harder to put together a competitive, Super Bowl-caliber team when your quarterback has a $46 million cap hit, like Mahomes will in 2023. His 34.2 QBR put him in the Davis Mills range. Carr would allow the team to balance out the offense more and unlock the talents of DJ Moore and Terrace Marshall Jr. Carr may not want to go to a rebuilding team at the age of 31, however, and Carolina still has a lot of improvements to make outside the QB position after selling off established talents like Christian McCaffrey and Robbie Anderson last season. Signing Carr would reunite the nine-year veteran with Dennis Allen, the head coach who selected the Fresno State product in the second round back in 2014 during his tenure with the Raiders. It seems to make sense to run it back with Smith on something like $35 million a year for three years. Tom Brady was in his second season when he led the Patriots to a Super Bowl win over the Rams, jump-starting a Patriots dynasty. The Eagles benefited from having their quarterback on a cheap rookie deal, with the 2020 second-round pick counting just $1.64 million against the salary cap in 2022. Burkhardt went on to explain Murray's desire for a long-term contract and the "detailed contract proposal" he sent to the team. 2023 NFL combine preview: 15 future fantasy football stars to watch, Best of XFL Week 2: Blocked punts, big throws and victory cigars, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. He sat behind Drew Bledsoe for almost all of his rookie year. In other words: Mahomes is worth many, many millions beyond what he's currently paid. We've drafted well. Dak Prescott has two years left on his contract at $31 million for 2023 and $34 million for 2024, but only the 2023 money is guaranteed. With a crop of talented pass-catchers headlined by Devante Adams, there will be no shortage of weapons for Jackson to throw to if he winds up in Sin City. 1 pick, 2023 NFL franchise tag tracker: Commanders' Payne first to be tagged, Meet the man scouring Nigeria for the next generation of NBA and NFL talent. Mahomes is the most recent quarterback to win the Super Bowl while on a rookie deal. Even after benching Wilson and replacing him with Mike White, the Jets couldn't find a way to consistently manufacture yardage and scores after prized rookie back Breece Hall tore his ACL. Even in limited playing time (four starts), Flacco was costly to the Jets. They help us to know which pages are the most and least popular and see how visitors move around the site. All Rights Reserved. Houston could start to establish a winning culture and work on fleshing out the roster around Jimmy G before handing the reins to their future franchise signal-caller in 2024. 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